What if you'd been buying Bitcoin every month?
Pick a starting year and a monthly amount to see how dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin would have played out, with the receipt.
Metodología
How the DCA simulator works
By Matilde Ferreira · Updated
What does the Bitcoin DCA calculator do?
It shows what a fixed monthly bitcoin purchase would be worth today. Dollar-cost averaging, in the SEC's investor-education definition, means "investing your money in equal portions, at regular intervals, regardless of the ups and downs in the market", so you buy more when the price is low and less when it is high (Investor.gov).
Pick a monthly amount and a starting year. The simulator buys once a month at the opening price of the month's first day, from January of that year to October 2026, and values the coins at the latest daily close. You can add a fee per purchase; taxes are not modelled.
How do you read the results?
Current value is what the bitcoin bought would sell for at the latest close, before any fees or tax on the sale. Profit or loss compares that with the total you put in. BTC accumulated and the average cost per bitcoin show how much each dollar bought: when your average cost sits below today's price, the plan is in profit.
| Start | Invested | Value | Return | Average cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2017 | $11,800 | $106,644 | +804% | $9,088 |
| January 2020 | $8,200 | $23,645 | +188% | $28,483 |
| January 2024 | $3,400 | $3,750 | +10% | $74,468 |
| January 2025 | $2,200 | $2,127 | -3% | $84,966 |
The 2025 row is the reminder. Bitcoin peaked at about $126,000 on 6 October 2025 (Fortune) and fell to about $57,700 on 1 July 2026 (CoinDesk), so a plan that started in January 2025 was still under water in mid-October 2026. Past prices say nothing certain about future ones.
Where does the price data come from?
Prices come from the Coinbase Exchange candles API for BTC-USD, a US dollar spot order book, at daily granularity in UTC. We pulled every daily candle from 1 January 2017 to 16 October 2026 on 16 October 2026, found no missing days, and use the open of each month's first day: 118 months in all. The valuation price is the close of 15 October 2026, because the 16 October candle was still open. Coinbase notes that historical rate data may be incomplete, so we re-pull the full series at each refresh.
Is DCA better than investing a lump sum?
Not on average, if you already have the money. FINRA says dollar-cost averaging "often produces lower returns than lump sum investing, especially over longer periods of time", and can cost more in fees because you trade more often. Vanguard's 2023 study found that investing a lump sum at once beat phasing it in over a few months about two-thirds of the time.
What DCA buys you is less timing risk. FINRA notes that it can help limit your losses in a significant market decline and "remove some of the emotion from investing". If you invest from your salary each month, the lump-sum question doesn't arise: buying on a schedule is simply what you are doing.
What fees and taxes apply to a bitcoin DCA plan?
- Exchange fees. Kraken charges a 1% fee on recurring trades plus a spread. Coinbase does not publish a recurring-buy rate: its fee depends on payment method, order size and location and shows in the order preview, on top of a spread. Use the fee calculator to compare exchanges.
- US tax. Each purchase is a separate lot with its own date and cost basis, and the IRS counts the fees you pay as part of that basis. When you sell part of your holding, units are treated as sold first in, first out unless you specifically identify them.
- Broker reporting. For lots bought on or after 1 January 2026 and kept on the same platform, US brokers also report your cost basis to the IRS when you sell, which makes keeping each recurring buy on one exchange simpler at tax time.
Frequently asked questions
Does dollar-cost averaging guarantee a profit?
No. Fidelity's guide to crypto DCA puts it plainly: the strategy "does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets". A plan started in January 2025 was still showing a loss at the 15 October 2026 price.
How often can I buy on a schedule?
It depends on the exchange. Coinbase offers weekly, twice-monthly (the 1st and 15th) or monthly recurring buys; Kraken offers daily, weekly, every two weeks or monthly recurring orders. This simulator models one buy a month.
Why is my real result different from the simulator?
Your exchange buys at a different moment in the day, adds a fee and a spread, and may round amounts. Set the fee field to match your exchange, and remember the simulator ignores tax on any sale.
Can I simulate other cryptocurrencies?
Not yet. The simulator covers bitcoin only, because we use a single, complete price series that we can verify end to end.
Sources
- [1]Dollar cost averaging (glossary) · Investor.gov (SEC) · accessed
- [2]Get product candles (Exchange REST API) · Coinbase Developer Platform · accessed
- [3]BTC-USD product details · Coinbase Exchange · accessed
- [4]Price of bitcoin today · Fortune · published · accessed
- [5]Bitcoin dips to $57,700, lowest since September 2024 · CoinDesk · published · accessed
- [6]The benefits and limitations of dollar-cost averaging · FINRA · published · accessed
- [7]Cost averaging: invest now or temporarily hold your cash? · Vanguard · published · accessed
- [8]Dollar-cost averaging in crypto · Fidelity · accessed
- [9]Kraken fee schedule · Kraken · accessed
- [10]Recurring orders · Kraken · accessed
- [11]Coinbase pricing and fees · Coinbase Help · accessed
- [12]How can I create or cancel a recurring transaction? · Coinbase Help · accessed
- [13]Frequently asked questions on virtual currency transactions · IRS · accessed
- [14]Final regulations on reporting by brokers of digital asset sales · IRS · accessed